
Government debt stood at P90 billion by December 2025, equivalent to 33 percent of GDP, with domestic debt alone already past the government's own 20 percent limit. The Finance Minister told Parliament the trajectory was heading toward 45 percent within two years. Parliament did not return with a plan to slow the trajectory. It returned with a bill to raise the statutory debt ceiling from 40 to 60 percent, ten points above what the IMF had recommended. In the same month, the Botswana Development Corporation signed Statements of Intent with BADEA for 100 million euro in financing facilities. Both responses treat the symptom. Raising the ceiling and borrowing abroad buy time. Neither fixes a revenue base still hostage to diamonds at roughly 80 percent of exports, and neither delivers the 4 percent of GDP adjustment the World Bank says is required. Edition 10 examines both.
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